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The Scarlets will need to pull off a shock result at home to ASM Clermont Auvergne if they are to keep alive any realistic hopes of qualification for a first Heineken Cup quarter-final since 2007.
Clermont are three points clear at the top of Pool 4 after their 32-11 victory over the west Wales region at the Stade Marcel Michelin and they have been in fine form since their opening round defeat to Racing Metro.
The defeat to Racing was Clermont’s only loss in their last 11 Heineken Cup pool matches and their record is a stark contrast to the Scarlets’ recent Heineken Cup fortunes.
A 33-26 win over Harlequins in Round 1 was the Scarlets’ only victory in the last nine games in the competition. They have also struggled against Clermont at home in recent years, failing to score any points against the French side in both 2008 and 2013.
“Clermont are one of the best teams, if not the best team, in Europe,” said Scarlets hooker Ken Owens.
“They have a lot of strength in depth and you could see that by the size of their pack last weekend. They picked a big pack to do a job and I thought the boys did absolutely everything out there to stop them because they went through a lot of phases in attack.
“Perhaps on another day we could have come away with a losing bonus point, which not many sides manage over there. But we will learn a lot from the experience.
“Clermont felt the effects of the game, too. We have to recover well, turn up at Parc y Scarlets and put in a big performance.
“If we can get something out of the game, we are still very much in this group with Racing Metro to come, a side we have shown we can compete with, and then Harlequins at home in our final game, who we have already turned over.
“Perhaps we have taken a step back, but if we get it right on Saturday we are right in there.”
Napolioni Nalaga scored one of the fastest tries in Heineken Cup history as ASM Clermont-Auvergne took control of Pool 4 with a bonus-point victory at Scarlets.
Nalaga pounced after just 17 seconds for the first of his two tries that secured victory at Parc Y Scarlets. The power of the French scrum also proved decisive after winning a penalty try while replacement Fritz Lee stepped off the bench to score.
The result means Clermont are sure to end round 4 at least three points clear at the top of the pool while the Scarlets can now only realistically aim for second place and a place in the Amlin Challenge Cup quarters.
Clermont were unbeaten in five previous meetings with Scarlets and could not have got off to a better start when Josh Turnbull lost possession from the kick-off and Nalaga, who had scored twice in the home win the previous weekend, won the foot race for Thierry Lacrampe’s kick.
But the Scarlets recovered from what could have proved a knock-out blow and led 13-10 at half-time. Clermont lost their talismanic captain Aurelien Rougerie to the sin-bin for punching and Rhys Priestland kicked the resulting penalty.
But the Wales outside half launched a counter-attack that made sure Scarlets gained even more from the 10 minute spell. Priestland ran a penalty from his own 22-yard line, Scott Williams provided the thrust though it needed Liam Williams to scoop possession off the deck for Priestland to release Maule.
Priestland converted and added a second penalty before Mike Delany halved their lead on the stroke of half-time. Brock James replaced Delany but missed his first two attempts at goal.
The game turned on 60 minutes after referee Wayne Barnes awarded a penalty try following a series of scrums close to the Scarlets line. Flanker Lee then crossed seven minutes later after Nathan Hines charged down Williams’ kick before Clermont’s scrum set up Nalaga’s second for the bonus point seven minutes from time.
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